The “new nukes” part of Putin’s state-of-the-nation speech was aimed at Europe

Not being a professional expert myself, I respectfully disagree with most of the expert community that says that Putin's announcement of new nuclear weapons (an underwater drone, a "nuclear-powered nuclear missile" and a hypersonic missile) is aimed primarily at Russia being taken seriously. https://twitter.com/meduza_en/status/969375084375937025 And I also disagree with the great Mark Galeotti, who says… Continue reading The “new nukes” part of Putin’s state-of-the-nation speech was aimed at Europe

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What if Russia lets go of the psyops rope? (Part 1 of 2)

I wanted to make this post as straightforward and brief as I can, since I think the point is very logical, simple, important and yet so-far unreported in the many, many media outlets covering Russiagate. I wasn't able to keep it brief, and therefore I'm forced to make my first two-part post. There are just… Continue reading What if Russia lets go of the psyops rope? (Part 1 of 2)

The Fox & the Hedgehog: a Unified #TrumpRussia Theory

The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing.                                   Archilochus, 700 B.C. I had a brainwave. I won't bury the lede: I have what I believe is an original theory of Trump and Russia in the… Continue reading The Fox & the Hedgehog: a Unified #TrumpRussia Theory

I found my empathy for #Hillary

I find Hillary Clinton fascinating. I really do. I don't agree with most of her politics (both her public positions and her process for achieving goals), but I think she's incredibly interesting. I think she embodies a particular strain of American strivers, the ones who practice an aggressive form of in-the-box thinking: "so that's the game,… Continue reading I found my empathy for #Hillary

A Separate Peace

No, this isn't about the tearjerker John Knowles novel. It's about that question of the day, "what does Putin want?" And a separate peace is also something I think is becoming more likely based on recent events. My thesis is: Russia's leadership, and to a large extent the Russian population, want to reach a separate… Continue reading A Separate Peace

I suspect Putin is considering not running for re-election

It's very hard for me to put my finger on why I suspect this, but I've had this gut feeling for some time that Vladimir Putin is seriously weighing whether or not to run for re-election in 2018. I decided that with Putin's annual Q+A session coming up on Thursday, I might as well throw… Continue reading I suspect Putin is considering not running for re-election

Trump’s Inverse Wolfowitz Doctrine

It's official: Germany hates Trump. Across the whole German political spectrum, Germans have denounced Trump. The grievances are many: Trump has demanded that NATO countries, and Germany (NATO's second-largest economy) accelerate defense spending to meet the agreed target of 2% of GDP, which Germany has resisted, saying it prefers to focus on diplomacy and international… Continue reading Trump’s Inverse Wolfowitz Doctrine