No, this isn't about the tearjerker John Knowles novel. It's about that question of the day, "what does Putin want?" And a separate peace is also something I think is becoming more likely based on recent events. My thesis is: Russia's leadership, and to a large extent the Russian population, want to reach a separate… Continue reading A Separate Peace
It's very hard for me to put my finger on why I suspect this, but I've had this gut feeling for some time that Vladimir Putin is seriously weighing whether or not to run for re-election in 2018. I decided that with Putin's annual Q+A session coming up on Thursday, I might as well throw… Continue reading I suspect Putin is considering not running for re-election
It's official: Germany hates Trump. Across the whole German political spectrum, Germans have denounced Trump. The grievances are many: Trump has demanded that NATO countries, and Germany (NATO's second-largest economy) accelerate defense spending to meet the agreed target of 2% of GDP, which Germany has resisted, saying it prefers to focus on diplomacy and international… Continue reading Trump’s Inverse Wolfowitz Doctrine
There has been a lot of talk about Trump's presidency ending early, whether by resignation, impeachment, removal under the 25th Amendment to the Constitution, or otherwise (even a military coup). There hasn't been much attention paid to what happens afterwards though. One thing that won't happen: a revote or special election. https://twitter.com/rubenkmajor/status/866547659321901056 A "do-over" of the… Continue reading If Trump leaves office early, what next?