I wanted to make this post as straightforward and brief as I can, since I think the point is very logical, simple, important and yet so-far unreported in the many, many media outlets covering Russiagate. I wasn't able to keep it brief, and therefore I'm forced to make my first two-part post. There are just… Continue reading What if Russia lets go of the psyops rope? (Part 1 of 2)
The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing. Archilochus, 700 B.C. I had a brainwave. I won't bury the lede: I have what I believe is an original theory of Trump and Russia in the… Continue reading The Fox & the Hedgehog: a Unified #TrumpRussia Theory
The New York Times Sunday edition came out with a remarkable editorial today. https://twitter.com/nytopinion/status/876369897638551552 The remarkable part wasn't that they called upon President Trump to declare his agreement with the US intelligence community assessment on alleged (and it is, in actual fact, only alleged, albeit by very serious people who should be taken seriously) Russian… Continue reading The death of consent
No, this isn't about the tearjerker John Knowles novel. It's about that question of the day, "what does Putin want?" And a separate peace is also something I think is becoming more likely based on recent events. My thesis is: Russia's leadership, and to a large extent the Russian population, want to reach a separate… Continue reading A Separate Peace
It's very hard for me to put my finger on why I suspect this, but I've had this gut feeling for some time that Vladimir Putin is seriously weighing whether or not to run for re-election in 2018. I decided that with Putin's annual Q+A session coming up on Thursday, I might as well throw… Continue reading I suspect Putin is considering not running for re-election
There has been a lot of talk about Trump's presidency ending early, whether by resignation, impeachment, removal under the 25th Amendment to the Constitution, or otherwise (even a military coup). There hasn't been much attention paid to what happens afterwards though. One thing that won't happen: a revote or special election. https://twitter.com/rubenkmajor/status/866547659321901056 A "do-over" of the… Continue reading If Trump leaves office early, what next?
The newest leak in a very leaky week: intelligence community leakers say they have intercepts where Russian officials said they thought Michael Flynn was an "ally" with whom they had a "strong relationship." https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/865732371701784576 Here's the thing: until very recently, Flynn's affinity for Russia and desire to improve US-Russian relations were probably better known in… Continue reading The CNN story where Russian officials brag that Flynn would influence Trump is not a scoop; here’s why