No, this isn't about the tearjerker John Knowles novel. It's about that question of the day, "what does Putin want?" And a separate peace is also something I think is becoming more likely based on recent events. My thesis is: Russia's leadership, and to a large extent the Russian population, want to reach a separate… Continue reading A Separate Peace
Before writing this post I googled the term "structural adversaries" to see whether I'd coined it. I didn't. But generally it means what I thought it should mean: people or entities that are bound to be adversaries by virtue of the system in which they exist. If you ask most Americans today why Russia and… Continue reading The US and Russia are structural adversaries
There has been a lot of talk about Trump's presidency ending early, whether by resignation, impeachment, removal under the 25th Amendment to the Constitution, or otherwise (even a military coup). There hasn't been much attention paid to what happens afterwards though. One thing that won't happen: a revote or special election. https://twitter.com/rubenkmajor/status/866547659321901056 A "do-over" of the… Continue reading If Trump leaves office early, what next?
The newest leak in a very leaky week: intelligence community leakers say they have intercepts where Russian officials said they thought Michael Flynn was an "ally" with whom they had a "strong relationship." https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/865732371701784576 Here's the thing: until very recently, Flynn's affinity for Russia and desire to improve US-Russian relations were probably better known in… Continue reading The CNN story where Russian officials brag that Flynn would influence Trump is not a scoop; here’s why
Everyone who watches the news knows that this week (which isn't even over yet) has been the Worst Week out of many worst weeks for President Trump. Blood is in the water. White House staff is panicked. The #TrumpRussia investigation has entered a new phase with the appointment of a Special Counsel. The cover of Time magazine shows the White… Continue reading Is Putin winning? Or just laughing?
On April 13, BuzzFeed published an article by Hayes Brown headlined "How Russia Hacked Obama's Legacy." I feel like I have to start this post off by stating my position on whether Russia "hacked" the election. First of all, when it comes to claims made by intelligence agencies presented without proof, I'm from Missouri. And… Continue reading Buzzfeed 4/13/17: How Russia Hacked Obama’s Legacy
A new article went up on The Atlantic's website yesterday: "In Syria, Russia Falls Victim to Its Own Success." The main thrust of the article is that Moscow's response to Trump's missile attack on the Shayrat air base near Homs, Syria has been halfhearted: Despite its morning protestations, the Russian Defense Ministry got out of the… Continue reading Julia Ioffe’s Apr. 4 article in The Atlantic